OSINT & Research

What the Internet Thinks Kingsport Is

What the Internet Thinks Kingsport Is

I do this for a living. It is called open-source intelligence, OSINT for short, and it is simpler than it sounds. I take a name, a company, or a place, and I find out what the open record actually says about it, using only what is public. Then I check whether the record is true, because those are two different jobs and most people only do the first one. Usually the subject is someone who would rather I not look. This time the subject was the town I live in.

I ran six research passes against one simple question: what does the internet think Kingsport, Tennessee is? Five of them ran through AI systems. The sixth was me, working the case the way I work any case. Then I spent a couple of days running down every figure any of them handed me, because a confident answer and a correct answer are not the same thing, and knowing the difference is the whole job.

Here is what I found. The internet does not know Kingsport. It has a story about Kingsport, assembled mostly by people who do not live here, and that story is checkably wrong in several spots. The AI tools did not fix this. They sanded it smoother and repeated it with a straight face.

The short version
  • The internet cannot agree on Kingsport's basic numbers. Median income answers range from $42,000 to $62,000, and home-value answers from $149,100 to $315,000, often citing the same Census while measuring different things.
  • Crime reads as a danger zone online but is actually falling fast. The 2024 police report shows burglaries down 26 percent and vandalism down 45 percent year over year.
  • The real, rising problems get left out entirely: a drug crisis that grew in Sullivan County even as the state improved, and a homeless count up nearly 29 percent in Kingsport in 2025.
  • Every AI tool called Tri-Cities healthcare a strength. The state's own record says the opposite, and in 2026 lawmakers signed a law unwinding the Ballad Health monopoly.
  • The local newspapers documented all of this. The algorithmic and AI layer buried it. The local record is rich. The machine record is blind.

Everything below is sourced. I have marked each contested claim with where it stands after verification, because if you are going to read one person's audit of his own hometown, you should be able to see exactly how much of it is the record and how much is me.

How to read the tags
VerifiedConfirmed against a primary source. Safe to repeat.
StaleReal number, wrong vintage. Technically sourceable, materially out of date.
KilledAn AI tool stated it with confidence. It does not hold up. Do not repeat it.
CharacterizationA framing or adjective, not a fact. Mine or someone else's, flagged as such.

01 / The DisagreementThe internet cannot agree on a single number

Start with the most basic question a person asks before moving somewhere: what do people earn here, and what does a house cost? You would think these would be settled. They are not. Ask the internet what the median household income in Kingsport is and you will get answers from roughly forty-two thousand to sixty-two thousand dollars, depending entirely on which page you happen to land on.

Figure 1 // Median household income, by source

One city, five sources, a twenty-thousand-dollar spread

Stale scrape $42,066 City, 5-yr ACS $52,490 Metro, 5-yr $57,792 City, scraped $59,187 Metro, 1-yr $62,096
The green bar is the Census ACS 2020 to 2024 estimate for the city, in 2024 dollars.1 The rest are the larger metro area standing in for the city, a different Census table, or a number some aggregator scraped once and never refreshed. None of it is invented. They are simply not measuring the same thing.

The verified figure is $52,490 Verified, and the reason all the other numbers exist is the whole problem with researching a place online. The metro area is a bigger, richer geography than the city, so any source quietly using it reads higher.2 A one-year Census table and a five-year table give different answers for the same place, and both are floating around. And the live aggregators scrape a figure once and leave it sitting for years. Drop the fine print and you can publish almost any of these and still say the Census backs you up.

Home prices do the same trick, with a wider gap. I found the "median home value" for Kingsport quoted anywhere from a hundred and forty-nine thousand dollars to three hundred and fifteen.

Figure 2 // Median home value, by source and metric

A $166,000 spread on the same houses

Aggregator (stale) $149,100 Kurby AI (stale) $181,600 Zillow, typical $257,361 Redfin, sold $300,000 Realtor blog $315,000
The two red bars are stale: one of those sources still lists the city's 2020 population, which is how you know its price is old too. The honest current numbers cluster high: Zillow's typical-home value was about $257,361 as of May 31, 2026,3 and Redfin put the median sale price near $300,000 in 2026.4 Those two measure different things and still roughly agree.

This is not a story about lying. It is a story about a record nobody is maintaining. When no local authority owns the numbers, the numbers drift, and a content farm in another state fills the gap with whatever it scraped two years ago. A person doing their due diligence does not see one Kingsport. They see four, and they have no way to know which one is real.

02 / The DistortionKingsport's crime is falling fast and still reads as a danger zone

If you live here, this section might bug you, because it sure does not feel like crime is going down. I understand that. So before the numbers, one thing about where that feeling comes from.

You only see crime when it happens. A car chase down a main road is on everyone's phone by dinner. A shooting leads the eleven o'clock news. A crime-grade website slaps a D on the city and moves on. What none of those ever show you is the burglary that did not happen this year, or the one that did happen last year so you have something to compare it to. A thing going wrong is loud. A thing getting better is silent. So the picture most people carry around is built almost entirely out of the bad nights, because the bad nights are the only part anybody bothers to post. What gets published and what is actually true are not the same thing, and the space between them is where a town's whole reputation gets decided.

Here is the part the crime-grade sites do not show you. According to the Kingsport Police Department's own 2024 annual report, the major categories did not just tick down. They fell off a cliff.

Figure 3 // Reported change, 2024 vs 2023

The year the aggregators did not index

Vandalism down 45% Burglaries down 26% Vehicle theft down 16% Collisions down 12% Calls for service down 7.6%
From the KPD 2024 Annual Report.5 Over ten years the trend is steeper still: burglaries down 52 percent, robberies down 46 percent. This is the data set the crime-grade sites had not ingested yet.

This did not happen by accident, and the department does not pretend it did. KPD credits a more aggressive, more visible enforcement approach, and the rest of the report backs the claim up: detectives cleared 72 percent of the cases they investigated in 2024, and the total number of calls for service dropped right along with the crime.5 Real police work, real numbers, published by the people doing the work.

So is the city dangerous or not? Both things are true at once, and you have to hold them together to be honest. Kingsport's crime rate is still above the national average, running roughly sixty percent higher on the most recent FBI numbers, and it is mostly property crime, not violent crime.6 And it has been dropping hard, year after year and over the whole decade.5 The crime-grade site shows you the level and hides the direction, and the level it shows you is months out of date. A place can be both above average and getting safer fast. Kingsport is both. Verified

One of the AI tools tried to explain the bad grades with a complicated theory about how Tennessee reports crime differently from its neighbors. Maybe so. I could not confirm it, so it is not in here. The plain version does not need a theory: the level is real, the trend is down, the grade is stale. The lesson is not that Kingsport is safe or that it is dangerous. It is that the version of your town you see online was built out of the worst nights and none of the quiet ones, and that is not the same as the truth. Killed goes on the theory, not on the trend.

03 / The CrisisThe problems people feel, that the brochure skips

Section two was about a fear that runs ahead of the facts. This one is the opposite: two problems that are real, getting worse, and almost completely missing from the version of Kingsport you find online.

Start with drugs, because everyone here already knows. In 2023, overdoses killed 270 people in Northeast Tennessee, and the number went up 2.3 percent in a year when the statewide total finally fell for the first time since the state began counting in 2013.7 The regional increase was driven by just two counties, and Sullivan, the one Kingsport sits in, was one of them. Sullivan's overdose rate ran above the state average, with fentanyl in well over half the deaths and methamphetamine in two-thirds.7 Over the decade the rise is staggering. The Kingsport Times News put it at a 568 percent increase, with only the faintest hint in the most recent provisional data that it may finally be turning.7 So when people here feel like the drug problem is bad, they are not imagining it and they are not behind the times. They are reading their own community correctly. The relocation guides and the chatbots just do not mention it.

Homelessness is the same story, and the numbers are fresh. Kingsport's 2025 Point-in-Time count found 222 people experiencing homelessness on a single January night, up from 172 the year before, an increase of nearly 29 percent.8 Across Sullivan County the count hit 327, and of those, 149 were dealing with substance use and 138 with serious mental illness, which is the drug crisis and the housing crisis showing up as the same people.8 Region-wide, homelessness has nearly tripled since 2020, pushed by a shortage of affordable rentals, an aging population on fixed incomes, and, for about one in ten, the aftermath of Hurricane Helene.8 Verified

Here is the part that ties the whole piece together. Every one of these numbers exists. They are documented in detail, with methods and year-over-year comparisons, by local reporters, several of them at the Kingsport Times News. The work got done. What did not happen is any of it reaching the layer most people actually read: the relocation blog, the "best places to live" list, the aggregator, the AI summary. The local record is rich. The machine record is blind. And the gap between them is not a rounding error. It is the difference between the town as it is and the town as it is sold.

04 / The AnchorEastman is the whole economy, and that cuts both ways

Every version of Kingsport, human or machine, leads with Eastman Chemical. Fair enough. It is a Fortune 500 company headquartered here, founded in 1920, and it employs something on the order of six thousand people locally. The booster sites and the AI tools both treat it as a steady, reassuring fact, the bedrock under the brochure.

Here is what the steady version leaves out. In November 2025, Eastman announced it was cutting roughly seven percent of its global workforce, somewhere under a thousand positions, to chase about a hundred and seventy-five million dollars in savings as demand softened and tariffs bit.9 Verified When one company is your economy, its bad quarter is your bad quarter.

And at the same time, in the same city, that same company has a first-of-its-kind molecular recycling plant up and running, using methanolysis to turn polyester waste back into raw material. It originally carried a two-hundred-fifty-million-dollar price tag that ballooned well past it, part of a roughly two-billion-dollar bet across three facilities, and the Kingsport unit is operational now with about ninety people running it.10 Verified

Let me be clear, because this is a town that loves Eastman and has every reason to. None of this is a knock on the company. The jobs are real, the pride is earned, and that recycling plant is the kind of thing most towns would give an arm for. The point is narrower than that, and it is about math, not loyalty. When one company is this much of your economy, you do not get to keep its good days and skip its bad ones. They are your days now too. That is the real Kingsport economy: a global manufacturer trimming a thousand jobs worldwide and running a first-of-its-kind chemical plant in its hometown, at the same time, in the same year. The cheerful chamber-of-commerce version cannot hold both of those. Neither can the "dying factory town" version on Reddit. The truth needs both hands.

05 / The InversionThe thing the internet gets backwards

This is the part that matters most, and it is the part every AI tool got wrong in the same direction.

Ask the relocation sites and the chatbots about healthcare in the Tri-Cities and you will hear that it is a strength. "Top-notch healthcare," "good hospital access," listed in the plus column next to the parks and the low taxes. Several of the AI systems I tested repeated exactly this. It is the single most important thing they got backwards, and you do not have to take my word for it, because the record is the state's own.

On sourcing, read this part
The figures in this section come from Ballad Health COPA filings, Tennessee Department of Health materials, and reporting by Tennessee Lookout and KFF Health News. None of it is my characterization. I am stating the record. Where I have an opinion, it is at the end of this piece, clearly labeled as one.

Ballad Health is the only hospital system for most of roughly 1.1 million people across a 29-county region, a monopoly the states of Tennessee and Virginia approved in 2018 by waiving anti-monopoly law through an agreement called a COPA.11 In exchange for being allowed to corner the market, Ballad agreed to hit a long list of quality-of-care benchmarks. In the reporting period that KFF Health News and Tennessee Lookout examined, it missed most of them, including major emergency-room access measures.11

The clearest single number is how long it takes to be admitted from the emergency room.

Figure 4 // Median ER time for admitted patients

The benchmark was three hours, forty-seven minutes

0h 5h 10h COPA goal 3h47m 6h 00m 2022 7h 40m 2023 10h 45m most recent
Median ER time for admitted patients, as Ballad reported it for 2022 and 2023 and in the most recent figure available as of Tennessee Lookout's and KFF Health News's 2024 reporting.1112 The dashed line is the goal Ballad agreed to in the original COPA. Wait times roughly tripled after the 2018 merger.

When the company kept missing its targets, the state's first move was not to enforce the agreement. It was to lower the bar, cutting the score Ballad needs to show a "clear and convincing public benefit" from 85 out of 100 down to 70.13 The pressure kept building, and in 2026 the state finally moved to unwind the monopoly. The Tennessee House passed the amended repeal 84 to 11 on April 13, the Senate concurred on April 16, Governor Bill Lee signed it on May 5, and it became Public Chapter 887 on May 18, 2026, with the key protections set to fall away in 2028 and 2030.14 Verified

So when an AI tool tells a family researching a move that Tri-Cities healthcare is a selling point, it is not giving them a thin answer. It is giving them a flattering one, and it is pointing them exactly the wrong way on the single decision in this whole search that could actually hurt them. That is the difference between a search engine that is incomplete and one that is confidently wrong, and it is the reason I do not let a chatbot have the last word on anything that matters.

06 / The TellEven the famous story gets the location wrong

If you know one thing about this area's history, it is probably Mary the elephant. In September 1916 a circus elephant killed her handler and was hanged from a railroad crane in front of a crowd. It is the regional ghost story, and half the retellings put the whole thing in Kingsport.

They are wrong, and the way they are wrong sums up this whole piece in one fact. Mary killed her handler here, in Kingsport, on September 12. She was hanged the next day in Erwin, about an hour up the road.15 Verified The killing happened here. The hanging happened there. The record smeared the two together for a century, and most retellings still do.

If the internet cannot keep straight the single most-told event in the region's history, you can imagine how it does with the median home price.

07 / The Negative SpaceWhat is missing is the whole real city

In my line of work, the absence of a record is itself a finding. The most useful thing I noticed about Kingsport's digital footprint is not what is in it. It is what is not.

Kingsport is one of the first thoroughly planned, privately financed cities in twentieth-century America, designed by a nationally known city planner named John Nolen in 1916 and 1917. That is a genuinely distinctive story, the kind of thing a city could build an identity on, and it lives almost entirely in encyclopedia entries and academic papers. No local business is using it. The downtown has had a real revival, with a twenty-million-dollar Main Street rebuild and something like seventeen to twenty new businesses opening in 2025 alone, and most of that is invisible outside the local paper.16 The South Holston tailwater is a nationally respected trout fishery that barely registers in any "things to do" result. And the people who would tell you all of this, the under-fifty professionals who actually live the modern version of this town, are almost completely absent from the public record, because the satisfied do not post and the aggrieved do.

So the internet's Kingsport is a flattering retiree brochure on top, an angry Reddit thread underneath, and the actual complicated city missing from the middle. The real place, the one with the planned-city history, the recycling plant, the falling crime rate, the rising drug and homeless numbers, and the broken hospital monopoly, is the one nobody bothered to write down where the machines could find it.

08 / The MachinesFive AIs, five reports, one identical paragraph

Here is the thing that should bother you, written by someone who uses these tools every day and recommends them to clients for a living.

I ran the same prompt through five different AI systems on the same afternoon. Their deep research diverged wildly. One smoothed everything into a real-estate brochure. One invented a regional GDP figure roughly double the real one, a net-worth statistic I could not source anywhere, and a "walkability score of zero" for a city that scores 25. Killed on all three.3 They could not agree on the population, the income, or the home price.

But when I asked each of them to just describe Kingsport in a sentence or two, the way a person would, they converged. Every one of them led with Eastman, called it affordable, mentioned the parks, and pegged it as a quiet retiree town. Not one led with the planned-city history. Not one mentioned the hospital monopoly. Not one mentioned the drug crisis or the homeless count. Several called the healthcare a strength.

Five engines that could not agree on a single number produced almost the same first paragraph. The disagreement was in the research. The agreement was in the bias.

There is a mechanical reason for this, and it is worth understanding. These tools lean heavily on Wikipedia and the highest-authority pages, and those sources are stale and incomplete on Kingsport. The Tri-Cities Wikipedia entry was still citing income data from the year 2000 the last time I checked. Remember the drug numbers and the homeless count from section three. A local reporter dug those up and wrote them down. The AI did not bury them out of malice. It buried them because they live in a local newspaper story, and the model weighed that story far below a relocation company's blog and a decade-old encyclopedia table. Feed a thin, dated, booster-leaning record into a system designed to sound confident and agreeable, and you get exactly what I got: a smooth, certain, partly false picture, delivered five different ways with the same blind spots baked in. The tool is not lying to you. It is averaging a record that was already wrong, and hiding the seams.

That is the lesson I actually care about, the one I tell clients. AI is a fast intern with bad judgment. It will hand you a clean, confident answer about your town, your industry, or your competitor, and the cleanness is not evidence that it is right. It is evidence that it averaged its way past the parts where the truth was contested. The verification is the work. It was always the work.

This is one corner of a triangle // the series continues
Part 1: published
Kingsport
The Model City: confident records, a hospital problem nobody wants indexed, and an economy that lives or dies with one company.
Part 2: next
Johnson City
The one the internet calls "the move." Same lens, same method, same question. Does the local favorite hold up once you check it?
Part 3: coming
Bristol
A city split across two states and a brand-new half-billion-dollar casino. What does the record say it is becoming?
Frequently asked questions

Is Kingsport, Tennessee a good place to live?

It depends on what you weigh. Kingsport has a low cost of living, strong outdoor recreation, and a Fortune 500 employer in Eastman Chemical. It also has real problems the relocation sites skip: a regional hospital system that missed most of its state quality benchmarks, a rising drug and homelessness problem, and an economy concentrated in one company. The honest answer is mixed, not the uniformly flattering one most sites give.

What is the median household income in Kingsport, TN?

About $52,490, per the Census ACS 2020 to 2024 estimate expressed in 2024 dollars. Higher figures circulating online, in the high $50,000s and low $60,000s, usually reflect the larger Kingsport-Bristol metro area or a different Census table rather than the city itself.

What is the median home price in Kingsport, TN?

Recent figures cluster high. Redfin put the median sale price near $300,000 in 2026, and Zillow's typical-home value was about $257,361 as of May 31, 2026. Much lower numbers still circulating online, such as $149,100 or $181,600, are out of date.

Is Kingsport, TN safe?

Kingsport's crime rate is above the national average and is mostly property crime, not violent crime. It has also been falling fast. Per the Kingsport Police Department's 2024 annual report, burglaries fell 26 percent, vandalism 45 percent, and motor vehicle theft 16 percent year over year. The low grades on crime-aggregator sites use older data and ignore the downward trend.

Does Kingsport have a drug problem?

Yes. Overdoses killed 270 people in Northeast Tennessee in 2023, a 2.3 percent increase even as Tennessee's statewide total fell for the first time since 2013. Sullivan County, where Kingsport sits, had an overdose rate above the state average, driven by fentanyl and methamphetamine.

Is homelessness increasing in Kingsport, TN?

Yes. The 2025 Point-in-Time count found 222 people experiencing homelessness in Kingsport on a single January night, up from 172 in 2024, an increase of nearly 29 percent. Substance use and serious mental illness were common factors, and regional homelessness has nearly tripled since 2020.

What is the Ballad Health COPA and what happened to it?

Ballad Health is the regional hospital monopoly serving about 1.1 million people across 29 counties, created in 2018 under a Certificate of Public Advantage, or COPA, that waived antitrust law. It missed most of the quality benchmarks examined by KFF Health News and Tennessee Lookout. In 2026 the Tennessee legislature passed and Governor Bill Lee signed a law unwinding the arrangement, which became Public Chapter 887 on May 18, 2026, with key effective dates in 2028 and 2030.

My opinion

Everything above this box is the record, sourced and checkable. Here is what I make of it. The most important fact about Kingsport right now is not in any relocation guide or any chatbot's answer, and it is the hospital. A monopoly that misses most of its own quality targets while the state quietly lowers the bar to pass is not a footnote. It is the thing I would want a friend to know before they moved their family here. Facts are facts, and these ones say something needs to change. I am not going to be talked out of that by anyone whose job is to manage the story instead of fixing the thing the story is about.

Snapshot dated June 13, 2026. The web moves. By the time you read this, some of these numbers will have shifted, which is exactly the problem. If you find one that is out of date, that is not a strike against the method. That is the method working.

Sources

  1. Median household income, city, Census ACS 2020 to 2024 (in 2024 dollars). Data USA, datausa.io/profile/geo/kingsport-tn; Tennessee Demographics, tennessee-demographics.com/kingsport-demographics.
  2. Metro median household income. Census Reporter, Kingsport-Bristol TN-VA metro: $57,792 (ACS 2024 5-year) and $62,096 (ACS 2024 1-year), censusreporter.org.
  3. Typical home value (about $257,361 as of May 31, 2026) and Walk Score (25). Zillow, zillow.com/home-values/kingsport-tn; Walk Score via Redfin, redfin.com Kingsport. Retrieved June 13, 2026.
  4. Median sale price near $300,000, 2026. Redfin, redfin.com/city/10066/TN/Kingsport/housing-market. Retrieved June 13, 2026.
  5. 2024 crime declines, ten-year trend, clearance rate, and enforcement approach. Kingsport Police Department 2024 Annual Report, kingsporttn.gov; WJHL, wjhl.com.
  6. Crime level vs national average (2024 FBI data, released Sept 2025). AreaVibes / CrimeoMeter, areavibes.com/kingsport-tn/crime.
  7. Northeast Tennessee and Sullivan County overdose deaths, 2023, rising against the statewide decline; fentanyl and stimulant prevalence; decade-long increase. WJHL, wjhl.com; Kingsport Times News, timesnews.net.
  8. Kingsport and Sullivan County 2025 Point-in-Time homeless count, year-over-year increase, contributing factors, and regional trend. Kingsport Times News / Six Rivers Media, timesnews.net; WJHL, wjhl.com; WCYB, wcyb.com.
  9. Eastman workforce reduction, Nov 2025. WJHL, wjhl.com; Reuters via Yahoo Finance, finance.yahoo.com.
  10. Kingsport methanolysis plant: original cost, escalation, and operational status. Eastman, eastman.com; Resource Recycling, resource-recycling.com; WJHL, wjhl.com.
  11. Ballad Health COPA structure, benchmark misses, and ER access measures. Tennessee Lookout, tennesseelookout.com, "ERs slowed to a crawl".
  12. ER wait times roughly tripled; large share of benchmarks missed. KFF Health News, kffhealthnews.org; Tennessee Lookout editor's notebook, tennesseelookout.com.
  13. State lowered the passing score from 85 to 70. Tennessee Lookout / KFF Health News, tennesseelookout.com, "Tennessee lowered the bar".
  14. Tennessee unwinds the Ballad COPA in 2026; House passage, Senate concurrence, governor's signature, and Public Chapter 887. Kingsport Times News / Six Rivers Media, timesnews.net; WCYB, wcyb.com; WJHL, wjhl.com; Tennessee Lookout, tennesseelookout.com.
  15. Mary the elephant: killed handler in Kingsport, hanged in Erwin, Sept 1916. Wikipedia, en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mary_(elephant); WBIR, wbir.com.
  16. Downtown revitalization: ~17 new businesses in 2025, $20M Main Street rebuild, Downtown Improvement Grants. WCYB, wcyb.com; WJHL, wjhl.com (figures attributed to the Downtown Kingsport Association).